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NextCure, Inc. (NXTC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 capped a transitional year as NextCure pivoted to its B7-H4 ADC program: FDA accepted the LNCB74 IND in December, first patient was dosed in January 2025, and cohort 1 was cleared in February 2025, putting the program on a visible clinical path .
  • Operating discipline continued: FY24 R&D fell to $41.5M (from $47.9M) and G&A to $15.7M (from $19.7M), narrowing FY net loss to $55.7M (vs. $62.7M in FY23) .
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $68.6M at 12/31/24; management reiterated runway “into the second half of 2026,” consistent with prior-quarter commentary .
  • Key catalysts shift to execution in early clinical development (LNCB74 dose escalation and planned backfill cohorts in 2H 2025) and partnering for non-oncology/NC410 assets; no Q4 earnings call transcript was published, so narrative relies on 8-K/press releases .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • IND acceptance for LNCB74 (Dec 2024), first patient dosed (Jan 2025), and cohort 1 cleared (Feb 2025) — rapid start that underpins 2025 clinical momentum; management plans backfill cohorts in 2H 2025 .
  • Cost management drove lower FY opex: R&D $41.5M (vs. $47.9M) and G&A $15.7M (vs. $19.7M), reducing FY net loss to $55.7M (vs. $62.7M) .
  • Management re-focused the portfolio on the ADC program and highlighted differentiating preclinical data for LNCB74 (binding, internalization, DAR4, conjugation/linker stability, tolerability up to 10 mg/kg in monkeys) . Quote: “We…reprioritized our resources to advance our [ADC] program…We look forward to additional progress in 2025” – Michael Richman, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Cash declined to $68.6M (12/31/24) from $108.3M (12/31/23), reflecting continued funding of operations, though runway remains into 2H 2026 .
  • NC410 progress is contingent on external support; the company plans to conclude the current trial and seek a partner, limiting internal advancement near term .
  • Restructuring/asset impairment of $2.5M in FY24 underscores portfolio realignment and cost actions taken during the year .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L snapshot (derived Q4 from FY vs 9M; dollars in $USD Millions; EPS in $):

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
R&D Expense ($mm)$12.42 $8.77 $8.90
G&A Expense ($mm)$4.08 $3.73 $3.55
Restructuring & Impairment ($mm)$0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Loss from Operations ($mm)$(16.49) $(12.50) $(12.46)
Other Income ($mm)$1.09 $0.96 $0.85
Net Loss ($mm)$(15.40) $(11.54) $(11.60)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.55) $(0.41) $(0.41)

Liquidity (quarter-end cash, cash equivalents & marketable securities):

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Cash & Equivalents ($mm)$86.44 $75.31 $68.62

Full-year comparison:

MetricFY 2023FY 2024
R&D Expense ($mm)$47.93 $41.49
G&A Expense ($mm)$19.71 $15.72
Restructuring & Impairment ($mm)$0.00 $2.54
Net Loss ($mm)$(62.72) $(55.65)
Net Loss per Share ($)$(2.25) $(1.99)
Cash & Equivalents at YE ($mm)$108.30 $68.62

Notes:

  • There is no segment revenue to report; company-provided tables focus on operating expenses and losses typical of a clinical-stage biotech .
  • Q4 figures are derived from FY24 minus 9M24; each Q4 cell cites both sources .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayAs of Q3 2024 vs Q4 2024Fund ops into 2H 2026 Fund ops into 2H 2026 Maintained
LNCB74 (B7-H4 ADC)IND/Clinical StartIND filing planned by YE’24 IND accepted (Dec 2024); 1st patient dosed (Jan 2025); cohort 1 cleared (Feb 2025); backfill cohorts planned 2H 2025 Raised/advanced milestones
NC410 (LAIR-2 fusion)Development PathConclude current trial; seek partner Seeking partnership/third-party financing; focus resources on LNCB74 Maintained focus shift
Non-oncology (NC181, NC605)Next StepsSeek partner or financing; potential INDs 12–18 months if funded Seeking partners; potential INDs 12–18 months if funded Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(Company did not publish a Q4 2024 earnings call transcript; themes reflect disclosures across Q2–Q4 releases.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
ADC focus (LNCB74)GLP tox completed; IND by YE’24 IND by YE’24; SITC preclinical data preview IND accepted (Dec); 1st patient (Jan); cohort 1 cleared (Feb); backfill 2H’25 Positive acceleration
NC410 strategyAdditional ovarian cohort enrolled; ASCO data Conclude trial; seek partner Emphasis on ADC; partnering implied De-prioritized internally
Cash/runwayInto 2H 2026 Into 2H 2026 Into 2H 2026 Stable
Regulatory milestonesSITC data planned IND accepted; clinical initiation Positive
Non-oncology pipelineNC181, NC605 seeking partners; pre-IND work Seeking partners/financing Preclinical data highlighted; INDs possible 12–18 months if funded Funding-dependent

Management Commentary

  • “In 2024 we reprioritized our resources to advance our [ADC] program and recently completed cohort 1 of the Phase 1 study evaluating LNCB74… We look forward to…initiating backfill cohorts in the second half of the year.” – Michael Richman, President & CEO .
  • “We plan to file an IND in the fourth quarter of this year and advance into Phase 1, shortly following receipt of an FDA safe-to-proceed letter.” – Michael Richman (pre-Q4 timing statement, achieved by Q4) .
  • On LNCB74 differentiation: “preclinical data…reinforce its promise as a potential best-in-class therapeutic…advantages over other B7-H4 ADCs.” – Michael Richman .

Q&A Highlights

  • N/A – No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was published; management’s disclosures are sourced from 8-Ks and press releases .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was not available via our S&P Global access at the time of analysis; as a result, we cannot assess beat/miss versus consensus for this quarter.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The ADC pivot is executing: IND accepted (Dec), first patient dosed (Jan), cohort 1 cleared (Feb); 2H’25 backfill cohorts provide near-term catalysts tied to clinical signals .
  • Cost controls are visible: FY24 R&D (-$6.4M YoY) and G&A (-$4.0M YoY) lowered burn, narrowing FY net loss to $55.7M; expect continued spend concentration on LNCB74 .
  • Liquidity is adequate for planned milestones: $68.6M cash at year-end and runway into 2H 2026 reduce near-term financing risk as the Phase 1 program advances .
  • NC410 and non-oncology assets (NC181, NC605) are leveragable via partnerships; external funding could pull forward IND timelines (12–18 months) on non-oncology programs .
  • Trading implications: stock likely sensitive to early LNCB74 safety/tolerability and any preliminary activity signals in dose-escalation/backfill cohorts; partnering updates could be incremental catalysts .
  • Risk balance: execution and clinical risk as an early-stage ADC; continued cash burn with no product revenue; partnering outcomes and clinical data cadence are key drivers .

Supporting detail and sources:

  • Q4/FY press release and 8-K (Item 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1) with full-year results and LNCB74 clinical start .
  • Q3 and Q2 8-Ks for sequential trending (quarterly and 9M tables) .
  • Q4 press releases on IND acceptance and preclinical data .